Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.185868 0.213523 0.244960 0.283564 0.329999 0.384436 0.453650
2025-06-22 0.140388 0.175106 0.218907 0.279157 0.361371 0.471888 0.635680
2025-06-29 0.116285 0.153924 0.205198 0.282121 0.398190 0.573093 0.869797
2025-07-06 0.098553 0.136385 0.191016 0.278732 0.422289 0.660368 1.115225
2025-07-13 0.087853 0.126296 0.184684 0.284251 0.459744 0.778321 1.462614
2025-07-20 0.079814 0.118567 0.180072 0.290731 0.499429 0.911942 1.906098
2025-07-27 0.073247 0.111981 0.175894 0.296571 0.538805 1.057879 2.459762
2025-08-03 0.068174 0.107005 0.173422 0.304657 0.584357 1.233559 3.205490
2025-08-10 0.063109 0.101316 0.168725 0.307335 0.619040 1.397681 4.044822
2025-08-17 0.058544 0.095897 0.163665 0.308168 0.649712 1.564676 5.042673
2025-08-24 0.054259 0.090465 0.157794 0.306111 0.672954 1.721962 6.166173
2025-08-31 0.050226 0.085049 0.151232 0.301317 0.688097 1.862945 7.386930
2025-09-07 0.047936 0.082721 0.150620 0.310244 0.743488 2.166277 9.866882
2025-09-14 0.044464 0.077789 0.144116 0.304241 0.756055 2.331406 11.877797
2025-09-21 0.042152 0.074891 0.141500 0.307266 0.796549 2.628245 15.399892
2025-09-28 0.039520 0.071100 0.136515 0.303432 0.815019 2.850289 18.943542
2025-10-05 0.037897 0.069194 0.135420 0.309548 0.868229 3.265647 25.618317
2025-10-12 0.036481 0.067576 0.134763 0.316748 0.928211 3.766050 35.481973
2025-10-19 0.035125 0.065954 0.133897 0.323243 0.988632 4.328375 49.610465
2025-10-26 0.034017 0.064757 0.133883 0.332242 1.062756 5.051387 72.641089
2025-11-02 0.032642 0.062857 0.131958 0.335224 1.114607 5.698910 101.752823
2025-11-09 0.031261 0.060829 0.129499 0.336151 1.158866 6.354934 141.752956
2025-11-16 0.029823 0.058558 0.126196 0.333861 1.188717 6.949324 192.740459